Oscar nominations tomorrow! Predictions tonight!

Let's be honest: Picking four out of five for the major categories ain't brain surgery. It's much harder to pick the actual winners on the actual night, and I'm very terrible at it. (Ray for Best Picture? Was I drunk? Well, kind of.)

Anyway, tomorrow a.m. come the nominations. Here are some guesses as to whose name will be called at a ridiculously early hour. (Nominees in bold are my preliminary guesses as to the eventual winners.):

Best Supporting Actress
Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain
Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener
Amy Adams - Junebug
Catherine Keener - Capote
Maria Bello - A History of Violence

Best Supporting Actor
George Clooney - Syriana
Matt Dillon - Crash
Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain
Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man
Terrence Howard - Crash

Best Actress
Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line
Felicity Huffman - TransAmerica
Judi Dench - Mrs. Henderson Presents
Charlize Theron - North Country
Keira Knightley - Pride & Prejudice

Best Actor
Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line
David Strathairn - Good Night, and Good Luck.
Russell Crowe - Cinderella Man

Best Screenplay - Original
Noah Baumbach - The Squid and the Whale
Woody Allen - Match Point
Paul Haggis - Crash
Judd Apatow/ Steve Carell - The 40-Year-Old Virgin
Cliff Hollingsworth - Cinderella Man

Best Screenplay - Adaptation
Larry McMurtry/Diana Ossana - Brokeback Mountain
Tony Kushner - Munich
Clooney/Grant Heslov - Good Night, and Good Luck.
Dan Futterman - Capote
Gill Dennis/James Mangold - Walk the Line

Best Director
Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain
George Clooney - Good Night, and Good Luck.
Paul Haggis - Crash
Bennett Miller - Capote
Steven Spielberg - Munich

Best Picture
Crash
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
Good Night, and Good Luck.
Capote

(Proof that it's easy: My predictions almost exactly sync up with those of The Expert. This is a coincidence, I assure you.)