Oscar predictions (again)

For some reason, I've had a lot of requests to do this post again. I guess my picks in the past have made me seems like Nostra-effing-damus. This year seems harder, and it actually seems easier to pick the winners. To demonstrate this, I've put my locks for victory in bold below. Let's do it.

Best Screenplay (Adapted):
-Children of Men
-The Departed
-Dreamgirls
-Little Children
-Thank You for Smoking

Best Screenplay (Original):
-Babel
-Pan's Labyrinth
-Little Miss Sunshine
-The Queen
-Volver

Best Supporting Actress:
-Adriana Barraza, Babel
-Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
-Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine
-Jennifer Hudson (Dreamgirls)
-Rinko Kikuchi, Babel

Best Supporting Actor:
-Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
-Jackie Earl Harley, Little Children
-Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
-Jack Nicholson, The Departed
-Michael Sheen, The Queen

Best Actress:
-Penelope Cruz, Volver
-Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
-Helen Mirren, The Queen
-Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
-Kate Winslet, Little Children

Best Actor:
-Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
-Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson
-Peter O'Toole, Venus
-Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
-Forrest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland

Best Director:
-Bill Condon (Dreamgirls)
-Clint Eastwood (Letters From Iwo Jima)
-Stephen Frears (The Queen)
-Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (Babel)
-Martin Scorsese (The Departed)

Best Picture:
-Little Miss Sunshine
-Babel
-The Queen
-The Departed
-Dreamgirls

Look good to you? Who do you think will win? More importantly, who do you want to win? And who, besides Borat, will be left out tomorrow morning?